User Guide

On Daily Horse Picks, you find all the tools you need to find winners at the races.

We provide picks and probabilities for each horse at all the main racing tracks in the USA and Canada. (and soon the UK, Australia, France and others) For every race, we offer tools to analyze the races yourself or understand how our artificial intelligence software came up with our guaranteed picks.

On the website you will find the following elements

Horses comparison Graphs

For each race, we propose three graphs which allow you to compare all the horses in the field visually. The graphs are complementary to one another and we recommend you use them as a group to handicap your races. You can decide to exclude some horses from appearing in the graphs if you think that they have no chance for instance.
  • Figures Graph. Here you can compare every horse in the race based on their Class, Speed and Pace.
    • The class figure of the horse is based on his recent races, what quality of horses he raced again and how it fared against them.
    • The speed figure is based on the finishing time of the horse in his last races, adjusted for the conditions of the race (distance, going, variant, etc.)
    • The pace figure is based on the racing time of the horse in his last races, at the second point of call, meaning about 2/3rd of the race. This figure is also adjusted for the conditions of the race and tells you how fast a horse is going early in his races.
    • Winning profiles graph. To build it, our Artificial Intelligence engine uses statistics from thousands of races at this particular track to determine what features a winner usually displays and compares the profile of today’s horses against this template. Horses that fit the mold better will be places on the upper right quadrant. If too many horses appear in the same quadrant, you can try removing some horses outside of it to fine tune the graph and find the real statistical gems.
  • Profile comparison graphs. This graph combines in one useful visual tool all the elements that form a horse’s profile. Each horse in the race can be easily compared with all the others based on the core features that make a racehorse. Here again, you can remove some horses from the graph to compare two or more horses, contenders for instance, together. Here are the factors that we are comparing here:
    • Early Pace: how fast a horse has been able to go out of the gate in its recent races
    • Pace: how fast a horse has been able to go at the second point of call in its recent races. The second point of call is placed about 2/3 of the way in the race, leaders at that point are those who have been quickest in the early goings.
    • Speed rating: this figure is based on the finishing time, adjusted for race conditions, of the horse in its recent races.
    • Leading ability: the tendency, or not, of the horse to be placed forwardly in his recent races. This answer the question of whether the horse will be among the leaders of the pack in the early goings or rather tends to be a few length behind usually.
    • Closing ability: the tendency, or not, of the horse to be finishing its races strongly. Horses with high closing ability tend to gain many lengths and places in the stretch, closing fast.
    • Class: this figure compares horses based on the quality of horses they have faced in recent races and how well they fared against them. A higher class rating means that the horse has been facing strong opposition in the past.

Entry List

In this section, we list all the horses that are participating in the race. The horses that have been scratched are striked and greyed out.

For each horse, we provide:

  • Statistics on their own performance
  • Its gender, weight carried, total pursed earned, last finishing positions
  • Statistics on the jockey’s performance
  • Statistics on the trainers performance.
  • Its current odds
  • Its morning line odds
  • The Artificial intelligence analysis of the probabilities of WIN/PLACE/SHOW. (Purchase necessary, covered by our picks-win guarantee)
  • A button allowing you to hide or show that horse from the graphs.

Horses, Jockey and Trainer Statistics

The first line of statistics presents the overall statistics of the horse, jockey or trainer:

  • The number of races they have taken part in,
  • The percentage of races that they have won,
  • Te percentage of races in which they finished in the money (top three finishers).

For horses, the number of races and percentages are based on lifetime figures. For jockeys and trainers the statistics are based on this season. Example: a line of 10/20%/50% would mean that the horse has taken part in 10 races, won 2 (20%) and placed in 5 (50%).

The second line of statistics shows the same numbers but for this particular type of race, meaning a sprint on the dirt for instance, or a turf route. We separate these statistics as they are extremely important to consider. Not all horses are able to run at all distance and some jockeys or trainers are just better are getting horses to perform on a given type of race. The second line of statistics is crucial to quickly see if the horse is experienced or not or if the jockey knows how to navigate a certain distance or surface well.

Odds and morning line

Knowing which horse has been bet down by other players, including big players who might influence the odds a lot is crucial. By comparing the Morning Line odds and the current odds, you can get an idea of the direction that the smart money is taking. This factor is an integral part of our Artificial Intelligence analysis and in it we are actually going much further and tracking odds movements precisely rather than just comparing with the morning line. This comparison is a useful shorthand for players however. The live odds updates are also useful in the context of comparison with the win probabilities that we propose on each race. Comparing the two, you can find some horses that have a better shot at winning than what the pari-mutuel says and this is where the value lies in horse racing. Our guaranteed picks are taking this price factor into consideration as well and we recommend the best value bets at the time of analysis.

Win% / Place % / Show %

For each horse and each race, our Artificial Intelligence software uses information on thousands of past races to determine the success rate of horses with a given profile, based on dozens of data points. Following this analysis, our artificial intelligence software is able to predict with accuracy the true probabilities of each horse in the race to win, place or show. We use these probabilities to present our guaranteed picks and those are based on the value of the pick (is the pari-mutuel price higher than what the probabilities dictate) and the probabilities of winning.

Our picks are guaranteed, meaning that if you purchase them and none of them hits, we refund the purchase price.

You can find more information about how the picks are made and why we feel so confident about them that we offer to refund them if they lose here